Still no signs of El Nino, La Nina

Sea surface temperatures across the Equatorial Pacific Ocean continue to be near average. As a result, the ENSO phase remains neutral with no current indications of developing El Nino or La Nina.

The latest long-range climate models suggest the current neutral phase will persist through at least the upcoming spring and possibly into summer. As for February temperatures, some climate indices are favoring slightly above normal temperatures across the southern Rockies, southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. This warmth might extend into the Tennessee Valley and Ohio Valley, as well. Total heating degree-day deficits of between 30 and 90 are projected across these regions during February.

In contrast, temperatures might average slightly cooler than normal throughout portions of the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies and northern Plains. These areas could see slightly higher than average heating degree-days and heating costs in February.

The Midwest, Great Lakes and East Coast are expected to see temperatures average closer to normal in February.  

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